26 February, 2017
Original:
Khalifa-zadeh Mahir, "Israeli-Azerbaijani Alliance and Iran", The Middle East Review of International Affairs, MERIA Journal, 2013, Vol 17, N 1, 56-70, Spring 2013, Rubin Center in International Affairs, rubincenter.org, ISRAEL, available at
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ABSTRACT
This article discusses cooperation between Israel and the Republic of Azerbaijan in order to neutralize foreign threats and ensure regional security. Expanding and improving ties with Azerbaijan has been part of Israel’s newly adopted strategy toward non-Arab Muslim states. Also addressed is Iran’s attitude towards Azerbaijan and the political and ideological opposition between the two mainly Shi’a-populated countries. Highlighted is the cooperation’s strategic importance for improving security and defense capabilities for both Israel and Azerbaijan. Last, U.S. priorities in the South Caucasus are viewed in the context of the Israeli-Azerbaijani alliance.
Historic sources and research
confirm that Jews of both Persian (also known as Caucasian Mountain Jews) as
well as Ashkenazi origin have lived in Azerbaijan for centuries.[1] The presence of Persian Jews in
Azerbaijan can be traced back over 2,000 years, to even before the fifth
century. Historically, Azerbaijan has been very welcoming toward the Jews.
During the periods of both the Russian and Soviet empires Azerbaijan had no
antisemitic traditions. In the nineteenth century, under the Russian Empire,
Jews of Ashkenazi descent began to settle in Azerbaijan. Others arrived during
World War II to escape the Nazis.[2] . Many famous Jews were born and
have studied in Azerbaijan, including scientist of modern physics and Nobel
Prize Laureate Lev Landau. Born in Baku, Azerbaijan, in 1908, he enrolled in
Baku State University in 1922.[3]
During the nineteenth century, Baku
became a center for the Zionist movement in the Russian Empire. The first
branch of Hovevei Zion (“Lovers of Zion”) was established in Baku in 1891, and
in 1910, the first choir synagogue opened in the city.[4] Even earlier, in 1883, oil
companies owned by the Rothschild family (of Jewish origin) entered the scene
in Baku, followed by Rockefeller’s gigantic Standard Oil Company.[5] Thus, the Jews lived in peace and
friendship with local Azeris and had successful businesses in the country.
During the period of the Azerbaijan
Democratic Republic (ADR, 1918-1920)–which formulated key ideological,
political, and security priorities for independent Azerbaijan–the Jewish
Popular University was established (1919) and Yiddish- and Hebrew-language periodicals
were published. Moreover, Dr. Yevsey Gindes, an Ashkenazi Jew, served as
Minister of Health in ADR’s cabinet under the first prime minister, Fatali Khan
Khoyski.
Jews continued to arrive and settle
in Azerbaijan during the Soviet period as well. The Jews in Soviet Azerbaijan
were not exposed to the widespread discrimination that was typical in other
parts of the USSR. Thus, the Ashkenazi Jews formed a significant part of the
intellectual and technocratic elites in Soviet Azerbaijan.[6]
POLITICAL DYNAMICS IN THE SOUTH
CAUCASUS AND IRAN’S PRIORITIES IN THE REGION
The Russo-Georgian War of 2008
shifted South Caucasus politics significantly and created a new political
atmosphere in this part of the world. As a result of the war, a completely new
strategic situation has emerged in the region.[7] Prior to the war, since 1994, when
Azerbaijan signed the “Contract of the Century” (agreement with a consortium of
international oil companies for the exploration and exploitation of three
offshore oil fields in the country), the strategic situation in the South
Caucasus could be characterized as a period of large-scale Western penetration.
The United States, the European Union, and Turkey, began to play a significant
role in South Caucasian affairs, which had traditionally been orchestrated by
Iran and Russia.
Moreover, several strategic programs
were launched by the Clinton administration (and continued under the Bush
administration) and the EU. These included Partnership for Peace, the Silk Road
Strategy Act, Caspian Watch, the EU’s Eastern Partnership, and others. The goal
of these programs was to strengthen the Western presence and minimize both
Iranian and Russian influence in this very sensitive part of the world. Unlike
Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia slowly began to drift toward NATO membership.
In addition, South Caucasian countries, particularly Azerbaijan and Georgia,
started to develop strong ties with the State of Israel.In the meantime, Iran, as a key regional player, reacted very concerned about the West’s “aggressive advance” into the traditionally Iranian and Russian sphere of influence. Iran’s hostility toward the United States and Israel pushed Tehran to stop or limit Western penetration as well as Israel’s cooperation with Azerbaijan and Georgia. Iran welcomed the Russo-Georgian war of 2008, which it saw as a brilliant opportunity to reverse the region’s strategic atmosphere from pro-Western to a much more pro-Russian atmosphere –hence a more pro-Iranian one also.
The Islamic Republic of Iran considers Russia to be a key ally in resisting the United States. Tehran prefers to be under Russia’s strategic umbrella and cooperates with Moscow on global and regional levels. Tehran supports the strengthening of Russia’s influence in the South Caucasus and Central Asia for strategic reasons.[8] In face of possible U.S. and/or Israeli military options to stop the Iranian nuclear program, Iran hopes Russia’s dominance in the South Caucasus and Central Asia would prevent the United States or NATO from deploying military bases in close proximity to the Iranian border.
At the same time, Russia also needs
Iran’s cooperation in order to secure both the South Caucasus and Central Asia
under Moscow, or under shared Iranian control. Tehran’s strategic priorities in
the South Caucasus can thus be identified as follows:
- To counter and reduce U.S. influence;
- To oppose U.S., NATO, and EU initiatives and long-term objectives;
- To prevent the deployment of U.S./NATO troops;
- To block both Georgia and Azerbaijan from moving toward NATO/EU membership;
- To minimize Israel’s influence and cooperation with South Caucasian countries;
- To align the security order with Iran’s strategic interests;
- To control Caspian energy resources and transportation routes;
- To contain the rising influence of Turkey and the Turkey-Azerbaijani alliance;
- To prolong the Turkish-Armenian hostility;
- To oppose the Turkey-Georgia-Azerbaijan triangle of strategic cooperation;
- To ensure Russia’s dominance and the current status-quo; and
- To support Russia’s leading role in the Caspian-Caucasus region
- To counter and reduce U.S. influence;
- To oppose U.S., NATO, and EU initiatives and long-term objectives;
- To prevent the deployment of U.S./NATO troops;
- To block both Georgia and Azerbaijan from moving toward NATO/EU membership;
- To minimize Israel’s influence and cooperation with South Caucasian countries;
- To align the security order with Iran’s strategic interests;
- To control Caspian energy resources and transportation routes;
- To contain the rising influence of Turkey and the Turkey-Azerbaijani alliance;
- To prolong the Turkish-Armenian hostility;
- To oppose the Turkey-Georgia-Azerbaijan triangle of strategic cooperation;
- To ensure Russia’s dominance and the current status-quo; and
- To support Russia’s leading role in the Caspian-Caucasus region
IRAN’S ATTITUDE TOWARD THE
REPUBLIC OF AZERBAIJAN
Notwithstanding, Iran and Azerbaijan
are both Shi’i Muslim countries and have a common historical and cultural
heritage. History as well as ideological and political factors have shaped
relations between the two countries and have influenced the policies of the
Islamic Republic of Iran toward the Republic of Azerbaijan. Iran was among the
first countries to recognize Azerbaijan’s return to independence in 1991,
establishing diplomatic relations with Baku in March 22, 1992. Since the Soviet
disintegration, however, the unstable and complicated Iranian-Azerbaijani
relationship has demonstrated Tehran’s discomfort with Azerbaijan’s existence
as an independent and secular state. In addition, Tehran resents Baku’s
strategic relations with Iran’s key enemies–the United States and Israel. It is
clear from the actions of the Iranian government that it considers Azerbaijan a
direct challenge or threat to its security and political future. This key point
in Tehran’s calculations towards Azerbaijan has deep historical roots.
Historical Factors
From ancient times, the Azeri Turks
and Azerbaijan were both heart and part of the Persian Empire. Azeri Turk
dynasties like the Ghaznavids, Safavids, Qajars, and others played a key role
in expanding and defending the Persian Empire, and the Azerbaijani city of
Tabriz served as capital of the Empire for centuries. Several Iranian shahs, in
fact, are of Azeri Turk origin.[9]
It was only in the nineteenth
century with the 1828 Treaty of Turkmenchay that Imperial Russia gained control
of part of the Persian Empire, the then semi-independent northern Azerbaijani
khanates. These territories became the nucleus for the modern republics of
Azerbaijan and Armenia. The Persian Empire officially renounced its claim to
the northern Azerbaijani khanates, leading to the division of Azerbaijan into
two: Northern Azerbaijan or Russian (Soviet) Azerbaijan and Southern Azerbaijan
or Iranian Azerbaijan. Since the Soviet Union’s collapse, this history has
created an illusion among Iranians that Tehran’s government has the right to
take Azerbaijan back under its control, to intervene in Azerbaijani politics,
and to manipulate Azerbaijan’s future in accordance with Iran’s interests.
Baku’s assertion of independence and its clear unwillingness to be
reincorporated into Iran has made for a rocky relationship with Teheran.
Political Factors On May 28, 1918, following the collapse of the Russian Empire, Azerbaijan declared its independence and identified itself as the Azerbaijan Democratic Republic (ADR, 1918-1920).[10] Iran attempted to reincorporate Azerbaijan, but the ADR government refused and established relations with the Entente governments in order to secure its independence. The Azerbaijan Democratic Republic adapted a secular and political system based on the principles of Western-style democracy and established a multi-party parliament. ADR was thus the first Western-style state in the Muslim world. It declared equal rights to all citizens, including ethnic minorities, men, and women, and granted Azerbaijani women the right to vote.
Today’s Republic of Azerbaijan is a
successor of ADR and shares its political and ideological values. It is a
secular and pro-Western nation in the South Caucasus. The country’s political
development has very much differed from that of the Islamic Republic of Iran,
though they both have predominantly Shi’i populations. In the eyes of the
government and the mullahs in Tehran, this is unacceptable.
Ideological FactorsAzerbaijan’s secular and Western-style statehood is based on an ideology that totally contradicts that of Iran. Tehran’s mullah government considers Shi’ism a unique ideology and a powerful force to unite the nation. The Iranian government has thus strengthened Shi’i ideology and suppressed the identities of the ethnic minorities in the country, including Azeri Turks (Iranian Azeris). It has also attempted to eliminate independent Azerbaijan’s ideological and political impact. Interestingly, Iran’s Azeri Turk Safavid dynasty officially converted Iran from Sunni to Shi’i at the beginning of the sixteenth century. Shah Ismail Safavid, an Azeri Turk and founder of the Safavid dynasty, is an important historical figure both in Iran and in Azerbaijan.[11]
While Iran follows the Shi’i
ideology, Azerbaijan has adopted a Kemalist ideology. Azerbaijani nationalism
is based on the ADR’s ideological and political values as well as on Azeri Turk
or Turkish identity. Thus, despite its common historical heritage with Iran,
the Republic of Azerbaijan had close ties with Kemalist Turkey and shared the
late Azerbaijani President Heydar Aliyev’s “one nation, two states” ideology
and strategy with the Turkish Republic.[12]
Even after the coming to power of an
Islamist-oriented, post-Kemalist government in Turkey, this relationship
continues and it supports Azerbaijan’s sense of identity. On the other hand,
the Azerbaijani government considers nationalism and Kemalist ideology as well
as the “one nation, two states” strategy as powerful tools to contain Iran’s
attempts to strengthen Shi’i ideology in Azerbaijan, which has created a major
ideological gap and opposition between the two countries.Last, Tehran’s hostility toward Azerbaijan is deeply rooted in the history. The fundamental and most influential factor in Tehran’s relations with Baku is that of two “divided” Azerbaijans. Iran fears Iranian Azeris may establish their own Azerbaijani state–as occurred in the early twentieth century[13]–or will become part of the Republic of Azerbaijan. The mullah regime in Tehran is greatly concerned that Azerbaijan’s success as a secular state could inspire or ignite Iranian Azeris to bring about the downfall of the current regime in Iran. These fears are exacerbated by the possibility of the West using Iranian Azeris against Tehran. The Azerbaijani republic is thus a major factor in Iran’s long-term strategy and the Azeri national liberation movement in Iran has become an element of global politics. In this context, Iran has thus adopted an aggressive stance toward the neighboring republic.[14]
IRANIAN PRIORITIES
VIS-À-VIS AZERBAIJAN
Tensions between Baku and Tehran are
manifest in more than one area, though in particular in foreign policy and
security issues. To counteract the strong Russian and Iranian opposition,
Azerbaijan has maintained strategic relations with the United States, the
European Union, NATO, and Israel. Moreover, Baku continues to espouse a
pro-Western strategy, despite direct calls from Tehran to end its cooperation
with the “Great Satan” (United States) and “Small Satan” (Israel).[15]Tehran’s official propaganda declares Israel as a main enemy of the Islamic world. Azerbaijani policy, however, differs. It does not view Israel as an enemy and considers it a friendly country, in which Muslims and Jews can live in peace and friendship. At the same time, Azerbaijan has developed close ties with Turkey, Iran’s rival in the Islamic world. Baku and Ankara cooperate and operate as a strong alliance on the global and regional levels, which has angered Iran. Thus, Azerbaijan’s independence and its secular and democratic nature of power as well as its pro-Western government are strong exacerbating factors for Iran’s policymakers. In light of this, Iran’s key priorities towards Azerbaijan can be identified as follows:
- To spread the Iranian Islamic Revolution’s ideas to Azerbaijan;
- To intensify Shi’i ideology propaganda and expand the Islamic network;
- To destabilize the political situation in Azerbaijan in an attempt to establish a pro-Islamic or Shi’i regime;
- To damage or discredit Azerbaijan’s independence, as well as its secular and democratic nature;
- To intensify intelligence activity and expand its espionage network;
- To limit and minimize Azerbaijan’s influence on Iranian Azeris;
- To support the separatism of local ethnic groups (Talish, Lesgi, and others);
- To halt Israel’s cooperation with Azerbaijan and Georgia;
- To minimize U.S. influence and curtail Azerbaijan’s bid for EU/NATO membership;
- To damage Azerbaijan’s international image and pro-Western foreign policy;
- To contain Azerbaijan’s rise to regional power;
- To exert constant pressure on and intimidate Azerbaijan to use military force;
- To provide assistance to Azerbaijan’s regional rival–Armenia–to maintain the balance between the two countries, and to keep Azerbaijan engaged in war with Armenia;
- To support Russia’s “cosmetic” attempts to solve the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict;
- To preserve Azerbaijan under Russia’s dominance.
Last, as tensions between Iran and both the United States and Israel has grown, Iran has increased pressure and threats to use military force against Azerbaijan.[16] In face of America’s military option to stop the Iranian nuclear program, Iran has attempted to keep Azerbaijan outside of the anti-Iranian alliance. There is also an ideological dimension to Iran’s desire to secure Azerbaijan’s neutrality. As the second largest Shi’i country in the world, if Azerbaijan were to become a member of an anti-Iran alliance, this would significantly decrease the mullah’s ideological defense that only the Shi’a can fight against enemies and stop “crusaders” and Jews.
AZERBAIJAN’S APPROACH TOWARD ISRAEL
Since the Soviet Union’s
disintegration, Azerbaijan has been under direct pressure from Russia and Iran.
Russia supports Armenia politically, militarily, and economically, which helps
Armenia to occupy Nagorno-Karabakh–which is internationally recognized as
Azerbaijani land.[17] Iran has also provided support to
Armenia and blames Azerbaijan for its close links with the United States and
Israel.
Since the time of its restored
national independence in 1991, Azerbaijan has strived to become an important
regional player and to retake lands occupied by Armenia. In line with these
goals and as a result of Russian and Iranian pressure, the late Azerbaijani
President Heydar Aliyev oriented the country’s strategic foreign policy toward
the West and Israel. In 1997, he met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu, who made a brief stop in Baku. The two discussed the Iranian threat
as well as Israeli-Azerbaijani intelligence cooperation. The meeting was
considered by some to be the starting point for the alliance between the two
countries.[18]
As a continuation of Heydar Aliyev’s
strategy, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev welcomed Israeli President Shimon
Peres in Baku on in June 2009. President Ilham Aliyev said, “I am happy to host
you in my country. This is a most important visit for Azerbaijan and we are
interested in expanding and strengthening the cooperation between Azerbaijan
and Israel in the areas of security, diplomacy and the economy.”[19]Peres’s visit took place despite strong opposition from Iran.[20] President Aliyev’s decision earned him great respect in Israel. “The clear position of Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev on relations with Israel, in particular his refusal to submit to the demands of Iran to cancel the visit of Israeli President Shimon Peres to Baku and his refusal to join any anti-Israel campaigns” have garnered “sincere respect in Israel.”[21]
Cooperation with Israel is vital for
Azerbaijan for several strategic reasons. First, both Azerbaijan and Israel
face regional security threats.[22] Despite official slogans of
friendship and brotherhood between two nations,[23] Azerbaijan very much fears Iranian
threatens to use force and expand its intelligence network in Baku and in other
parts of the country.[24] Moreover, Iran provides large-scale
support to Armenia, which seriously damages Azerbaijani-Iranian relations and
creates serious mistrust between the two countries.[25]Azerbaijani political elites consider
Israeli or Jewish support a key element in countering the Armenian diaspora,
particularly in the United States and Europe. In 1997, during an official visit
to the United States, President Heydar Aliyev met with representatives of
American Jewish organizations in New York and openly asked them to help
Azerbaijan.[26] Azerbaijan is grateful to Israel
for lending the pro-Israel lobby’s weight in Washington to improve
Azeri-American relations.[27]
Another strategic factor was the
successful experience of the Turkish-Israeli partnership for over a decade,
which inspired Azerbaijani decisionmakers to form strategic ties with Israel.
Despite current problems in the Turkish-Israeli relationship, Ankara
“understands that its regional aspirations require correct relations with [the]
Jewish state.”[28] Former Israeli Ambassador to Turkey
Zvi Elpeleg also noted, “I do not think that relations will deteriorate because
there are fundamental reasons why Turkey and Israel have the same interests.”[29] Azerbaijan has attempted to play
the mediator between the two countries following tensions and disagreements
that emerged as a result of the Mavi Marmara incident. Undoubtedly, this type
of mediation can expand Baku’s role in Middle Eastern affairs and strengthen
Azerbaijan’s international standing.
Baku welcomes the triangular
security and defense partnership between Turkey, Israel, and Azerbaijan. This
model of cooperation has been successful concerning energy affairs.[30] The strategic triangular
partnership could be an effective tool in strengthening and supporting U.S.
diplomacy, as well as counterbalancing the Iran-Russia axis in the South
Caucasus and Central Asia.
Modernizing the Azerbaijani Army as
part of this defense cooperation is clearly the next and most important
strategic dimension for Baku in its relations with Jerusalem. From 1992 to
1994, Israel supported Azerbaijan in a war with Armenia, supplying Stinger
missiles and other weapons to Azerbaijani troops.[31] Moreover, the Jews of Azerbaijan
fought together with Azeris against the Armenians during this war. Albert
Agarunov, an Azerbaijani Army officer and a Mountain Jew, became a national
hero in Azerbaijan following the war.[32] More recently, in February 2012, as
part of this bilateral defense cooperation, Azerbaijan signed a deal to
purchase $1.6 billion worth of arms from Israel.[33]Last, Azerbaijan views its relations with Israel as part of a long-term strategy to develop close ties with the United States, in order to contain Iranian and Russian threats. Though Israeli-Azerbaijani cooperation has expanded to include foreign policy, the military, economy, and intelligence, Azerbaijan does not have a diplomatic mission in Israel for fear of jeopardizing its relations with Muslim countries. Moreover, both sides do not want to publicize their relations. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev described his country’s relationship with the Jewish state as being like an iceberg: “nine-tenths of it is below the surface.”[34]
ISRAEL’S PRIORITIES VIS-À-VIS AZERBAIJAN
According to Dr. Ariel Cohen of the Washington, D.C.-based Heritage Foundation, “Israel’s strategic priorities include developing good diplomatic and economic relations with Caucasus and Central Asia countries, preventing Iran from increasing its influence in the region, and participating in energy projects, including oil and gas imports to Israel.”[35]35 In April 2012, Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman paid an official visit to Baku. He met with President Ilham Aliyev, with whom he discussed bilateral relations and Iran. According to Israeli analysts, “Lieberman’s visit comes one month after the American magazine Foreign Policy reported that Azerbaijan has given Israel access to Azerbaijani airbases, which is considered an important step towards a possible attack on Iran.”[36] Both Azerbaijan and Israel rejected the allegations. In Baku, Lieberman commented, “Such reports are from the sphere of science fiction and do not correspond with the truth.”[37] Undoubtedly, Lieberman’s visit once again confirmed the strategic character of the Israeli-Azerbaijani relationship. According to Israeli news media, “The foreign minister acknowledged that Israel and Azerbaijan–which is strategically located on Iran’s northern border–have good, stable relations, and he described it as an ‘important country which is now a member of the UN Security Council.’”[38]
Israeli policymakers consider
Azerbaijan and the Caspian littoral as part of the Greater Middle East.[39] Israel, which for decades has had
to deal with hostile neighboring Arab states, has attempted to improve its
security as well as its foreign image and international relations. As part of
this strategy, Israel has tried to develop relations with non-Arab Muslim
states. “Expanding its influence into an area of the world heavily Muslim but
not Arab has long been a strategic Israeli objective.”[40] This strategy is designed not only
to improve relations with the Islamic world, but also to demonstrate that
Israel can have peaceful relations with Muslim states. It has attempted to
prove that there is no Israel-Muslim or Jewish-Muslim confrontation. The
collapse of the USSR provided a brilliant opportunity for Israel to develop
relations with the newly independent former Soviet Muslim republics. As of this
writing, Israel has successfully established diplomatic relations with nine
non-Arab Muslim states.[41]In this light, Azerbaijan’s
experience of the peaceful cohabitation of Azeris and Jews was attractive for
the Israeli political elite. This model served as a foundation upon which to
develop a long-term partnership. Israeli policymakers enthusiastically responded
to Azerbaijani attempts to establish close bilateral ties.
A key element in the
Azerbaijan-Israel relationship has been their mutual concern over the Islamic
Republic of Iran. Iran presents the most serious threat to Israel. As result,
Jerusalem has launched a strategy of active diplomacy in the region surrounding
Iran. At a May 2009 conference at the Center for Iranian Studies at Tel Aviv
University, the former head of the Israeli Military Intelligence Directorate
Major General Aharon Ze’evi Farkash said, “It is very important to form a
coalition with the moderate Sunnite countries which… [fear the] Iranian nuclear
threat.” In addition, according to Israeli analyst Uzi Rabbi, “Israel must
conduct active diplomacy in the regions surrounding Iran,” and “to resist
Iranian aggression several coalition alliances should be formed.”[42]Thus, Azerbaijan, with its strategic location along Iran’s northern border, plays an important part of Israel’s foreign policy agenda vis-à-vis the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Israeli policymakers are aware of Azerbaijan’s insecurity and mistrust towards Iran because of Tehran’s aid to Armenia, which occupies territory internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan.
In this regard, Israel has
repeatedly declared that Jerusalem supported Azerbaijani territorial integrity.
The former Israeli ambassador to Turkey and the ex-deputy foreign minister, Pinkhaz
Avivi, said, “Our position is the following: We recognize the principle of
Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity. We don’t try to hide the fact that our
relations with Azerbaijan are more intense and rewarding than our relations
with Armenia and that relations with Azerbaijan are strategically important for
us.” He also added in an interview, “We have common goals. We understand
Azerbaijan’s concern with its Iranian neighbor better than anyone, and that’s a
good ground for rapprochement. Our dialogue with Armenia, on other hand, has
always been interconnected with our relations with Turkey.”[43]
Undoubtedly, Turkish cooperation is
essential for Israel’s foreign and security policy. Israel considers the
Turkish-Azerbaijani alliance as a favorable factor for deepening and enhancing
security and defense cooperation with Azerbaijan despite the cooling of
Israel’s relations with Ankara. Israel, for its part, considers the expansion
of political and defense cooperation with Azerbaijan an influential factor for
improving its relations with Turkey. The Israeli military industry is now a
major provider of advanced aviation, anti-tank artillery, and anti-infantry
weapon systems to Azerbaijan. Furthermore, Israeli Aeronautics Defense Systems
have helped Azerbaijan assemble unmanned aircrafts.[44] In February 2012, Israeli defense
officials reportedly confirmed a deal to sell unmanned military aircrafts as
well as antiaircraft and missile defense systems to Azerbaijan for approximate
$1.6 billion.[45]
Israel and Azerbaijan maintain
intense cooperate on security issues as well. In October 2001, President Heydar
Aliyev met with Israel’s ambassador, Eitan Naeh, and confirmed that “their
positions in the fight against international terrorism… were identical.”
According to Israeli experts, groups like Hizb al-Tahrir pose a threat both to
Jerusalem and to Baku. Israeli analysts also argue that some Wahhabi
organizations may be operating in Azerbaijan.[46] Security cooperation between the
two countries has entailed intelligence exchanges, data analysis (including
satellite information), briefings, and other activities. Israel also trains
Azerbaijani security and intelligence services and provides security for the
Azeri president on foreign visits. Some sources also report that Israel has set
up electronic listening stations along the Caspian Sea and Iranian border.[47]
Israel’s next priority is to counter
the Iranian intelligence network in Azerbaijan and in other Muslim countries of
the CIS. Iran has attempted to expand its political influence to its immediate
neighbors as well as to intensify intelligence operations, particularly in
Azerbaijan. According to Azerbaijani media reports, the national security
services have arrested 22 people who were sent by Iran to carry out terrorist
attacks against the U.S. and Israeli embassies, as well as against
Western-linked groups and companies in Baku. In February 2012, the Azerbaijani
Ministry of National Security announced the arrest of a terrorist group
allegedly working for Iran’s secret services. In January 2012, Azerbaijan’s
secret service arrested two people accused of plotting to kill two teachers at
a Jewish school in Baku. In 2007, Azerbaijan arrested 15 people in connection
with an alleged Iranian-linked spy network accused of providing intelligence on
Western and Israeli activities.[48]
Azeri-Israeli security cooperation
is vital and beneficial for both Baku and Jerusalem. The failure of the
Azerbaijani-Israeli alliance to work together to counter Iran would be
irresponsible and would have unpredictable consequences for Baku and Jerusalem.
Tehran’s attempts to expand its Shi’i and Iranian ideology could have a
catastrophic impact on Azerbaijan’s potential to be an independent and strong
American ally in the region. It is clear that the fall of secular Azerbaijan
would badly damage Israel’s security and America’s strategic interests.
Moreover, this would strengthen Iran and create a totally new balance of power
in the Greater Middle East, particularly in the South Caucasus and Caspian
basin, as well as in Central Asia.
Last, Azerbaijani energy is a
critical factor in Israel’s strategic calculations. In 2011, Azerbaijan
exported as much as to 2.5 million tons (about 18.5 million barrels) of oil
with total worth of $2.1 billon to Israel. Last year trade turnover between
Israel and Azerbaijan reached $4 billion, making Azerbaijan Israel’s top trade
partner within CIS countries.[49] According to Ariel Cohen, Israel “…
can benefit from projects designed to bring Caspian and Central Asian oil and
gas to Western markets as they allow Israel to diversify supply and receive
abundant energy at affordable price.”[50]
Israeli-Azerbaijani energy
cooperation has clearly become an extremely important factor for Israel’s
energy security. This cooperation allows for the diversification of supplies of
oil and gas and for exploration of Israel’s energy resources. Baku provides
Jerusalem with over one-third of Israel’s oil supply.[51] As a result of former Israeli
Foreign Minister Lieberman’s April 2012 visit to Baku, SOCAR will start
drilling in Med Ashdod, Israel’s oil field, located 16 kilometers off the
Mediterranean coast. The Israeli Ambassador to Baku, Michael Lotem said,
“The drilling will begin soon. The work is at a very advanced stage and
delivery of a drilling rig to the field is now expected.[52] The project is SOCAR’s first
oil-production or drilling operation outside of Azerbaijan. The contract allows
SOCAR to gain international experience and expand its operations in Turkey,
Georgia, Israel, and other countries.
IMPLICATIONS FOR THE UNITED
STATES It is well-known that the United States has declared the Caspian basin as vital to its national interests. In this context, the Israeli-Azerbaijani partnership is an effective tool to strengthen and support America’s strategic presence in this very sensitive part of the world. Furthermore, the Israeli-Azerbaijani alliance to counter Iran has strategic importance for U.S. interests, particularly in the Greater Middle East and Central Asia. Unlike Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia are America’s allies in the South Caucasus and the Caspian basin. The strengthening of Azerbaijan’s secular and pro-Western independence should be a strategic priority for U.S. diplomacy in the region.
However, the Obama administration’s
lack of focus on South Caucasus affairs jeopardizes America’s strategic
interests in the region. Unlike the Clinton administration and the Bush
administration, the Obama administration has not been active in managing
Iranian and Russian influence in this part of the world. As result of the
Russo-Georgian war of 2008, the Tehran-Moscow axis effectively decreased
America’s influence in the Greater Caspian Basin. Now, the axis continues to
limit or minimize U.S. political activity and increases pressure on
Washington’s allies.
Indeed, Azerbaijan is under double
pressure from Iran and Russia and needs strong U.S. support to secure its
national independence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity. Azerbaijan’s
pro-Western independence ensures a U.S. strategic presence in the Caspian basin
and facilitates its power projection deep into Asia. In this context,
Azerbaijan is of the utmost geostrategic importance for the United States. The
loss of a secular and independent Azerbaijan, as previously discussed, would
badly damage both U.S. and EU strategic interests. The United States should
thus support Israeli-Azerbaijani cooperation in order to counter the regional
threat and to strengthen both countries’ security as reliable U.S. allies.
CONCLUSION
Since the fall of the Soviet Union,
the historically close and warm relations between Jews and Azeris became a
solid base for mutual cooperation between the State of Israel and the Republic
of Azerbaijan. Both countries are strategically located but in hostile
environments. This has strengthened their rapprochement and led to expanded cooperation.Despite strong opposition from Tehran and Moscow, Azerbaijan has established a close partnership with Israel. Today, Baku and Jerusalem are partners on a wide range of issues. The insecurity and regional threats have pushed both Azerbaijan and Israel to create a strategic alliance that enhances security and defense capabilities.
However, the future of the
Israeli-Azerbaijani relationship depends on the political nature of the ruling
power in Azerbaijan. Iran continues its attempts to spread its Islamic
Revolution ideology into Azerbaijan through Shi’i propaganda, while expanding
its intelligence network in Baku and other major Azerbaijani cities.
The strengthening of pro-Islamist or
Shi’i political forces would have a catastrophic impact on Azerbaijan’s
political future as a secular state and a strong Israeli and American ally. In
this light, the strengthening of ties in all areas is crucial in order to
combat Iranian influence. It is also of fundamental importance that the
Azeri-Jewish/Israeli-Azerbaijani alliance is cultivated as a long-term and
mutually advantageous relationship.
One idea for a joint project is the
establishment of a university named after Baku-born Nobel Prize laureate Lev
Landau (Lev Landau University). The university, financed by Israel or by both
sides, could offer Jewish studies as well as other disciplines. An Azeri
Studies center could also be opened at one of the major Israeli universities,
such as at Tel Aviv University.
Initiatives like these would
contribute to the development of the history and culture of both nations and
would thus strengthen ties and create a solid foundation for maintaining
relations in the long-term.
With its pro-Western foreign policy,
Azerbaijan is strategically important for U.S. and Israeli interests in the
Greater Middle East and in the post-Soviet space. Ensuring Azerbaijan’s future
as a secular, independent state should be a key priority for Israel and the
United States. It is likely that the new U.S. administration will intensify
efforts to support Azerbaijan’s independence and territorial integrity in order
to position it under NATO’s security umbrella and to protect the strategic
Western oil infrastructure in the Caspian basin. Richard Morningstar’s 2012
nomination as U.S. Ambassador to Azerbaijan was a strategic move aimed to
revive and push forward U.S. diplomacy in the South Caucasus and Caspian basin.
With regard to any military option
to stop Iran’s nuclear program, Azerbaijan continues to attempt to remain
neutral. On a May 29, 2012, visit to Tehran, the Azerbaijani minister of
defense said, “The Republic of Azerbaijan, like always in the past, will never
permit any country to take advantage of its land, or air, against the Islamic
Republic of Iran, which we consider our brother and friend country.”Indeed,
Baku would like to avoid any possible military clashes with Iran and maintain
its neutrality. However, Azerbaijan’s actions and pragmatic foreign policy
indicate that Baku’s position is more pro-Western than pro-Iranian. Baku will
thus continue to cooperate with Israel in order to protect and advance
Azerbaijani national interests.*Mahir Khalifa-zadeh, Ph.D. is a political analyst based in Toronto, Canada. He is affiliated with the Montreal-based Center for Research on Globalization and is a member of the Canadian Political Science Association. He is also a Professor of Political Science at the International Eco-Energy Academy (Baku, Azerbaijan) and a regular contributor to international journals on global politics and security. His latest article is “Iran and the South Caucasus: A Struggle for Influence” (Sweden, 2011).
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